GOLD : Märkte und Informationen

Hier der vorhin zitierte Artikel von Rick Ackerman. Er weist auf das lange Dahindümpeln seitwärts im relativ engen Band hin, was auch ich gestern als positiv ansah.

"...If you’re a long-term investor looking to do some bargain-hunting, however, we’d advise waiting for even better prices, since it looks as though the futures could fall to as low as 899.00 over the next 6-8 days. That would be a back-up-the-truck buying opportunity as far as we’re concerned, since the downside in bullion seems limited for now....

...Incidentally, we don’t regard price declines in gold as a sign of weakness; rather, we see quiet, steady accumulation that seems to be in no hurry to launch the moon shot that we all know is coming someday. This is evident in the chart above, which shows how comfortable gold has become at a cruising altitude above $900. That’s where gold futures have spent the last five months, but even if they fell out of that range, descending to as low as $800, you can see for yourself that it wouldn’t significantly change the long-term bullish look of the chart...."

http://news.goldseek.com/RickAckerman/1246428000.php

Grüsse

florian

Es ist ausgemacht willkürlich, irgendeinen Monat herauszugreifen, warum nicht November, sh,Chart?

In diesem Thread bist du bereits mehrfach mit inhaltslosen als auch provokativen Beiträgen aufgefallen.
Wenn Du keinen konstruktiver Gedanken beisteuern willst, empfehle ich, Dich hier zurückzuhalten.

Grüsse

Zitat von Bonus Maximus

(....)
Hier mal etwas detaillierter im Vergleich, wie Gold abschneidet. Interessant ist Silber:

http://www.welt.de/finanzen/ar…Verlierer-des-Jahres.html

MfG BM

Tja, leider nur S.1 abrufbar.

Aber zum Verhältnis Gold : Silber; Dasselbe wie zuvor: Stichtage haben ihre eigenen Gesetze.
Daß Silber 2009 gut performte, haben wir im Silberthread mehrfach gewürdigt.

Nehmen wir nun aber 1 Jahr, sieht dies gänzlich anders aus : Gold liegt dann weit vorn......

Grüsse

Zitat von Edel Man

Moin

Es kann nie schaden, das große Bild zu sehen. So fällt mir ein "attraktiver" Chart heute auf mit :
--- Golden Cross
--- Steigender 200 MA
--- Stochastik mit Doppelboden

Nur-- es dauert diesmal lange, bis das prinzipiell positive Golden Cross wirkt....
Die steigende 200 MA ist ein klares Zeichen für den andauernden Bullmarkt.

Jedenfalls charttechnisch sieht Gold gut aus, was kurze Dämpfer sowieso nie ausschließt.....

http://www.safehaven.com/article-13760.htm

Alles anzeigen

Das war am Dienstag.

Heute Peter Degraaf mit einemArtikel über den interessanten, weil recht zuverlässigen Indikator Golden Cross.
Über das Prinzipielle hinaus zu Gold, Silber und den Hui, allesamt POSITIV., hier der Chart für Gold.

Auch er weist darauf hin,daß seine Auswirkungen spät erfolgen können. Hier bei Gold ab Februar,-- Hinweis für nervös gewordene Mitglieder --

".....A Golden Cross-over, or Positive Cross-over is when the 50 Day Moving Average (50D), moves above the 200 Day Moving Average (200D).

There are three kinds of these patterns.
1.The cross-over occurs when both the 50D and 200D are falling.
2.The cross-over occurs when the 50D is rising, while the 200D is falling.
3.The cross over occurs when the 50D and 200D are rising.
The first pattern is rare, the second pattern is common and the third pattern is the most bullish. Quite often the third pattern takes a bit of time to develop, after the cross-over occurs. The momentum of the rising 50D soon causes the 200D to follow the 50D upwards.

Before we look at the charts, here is the conclusion.

When the fundamentals are supportive, the most bullish phase in any stock or commodity is when the 50D has made a Golden Cross-Over and the two moving averages (50D and 200D) are rising. The cross-over has to be in synchronization with the fundamental direction, otherwise the trend will be short-lived....

http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1246514760.php

Grüsse

J.Whillie ist darüberhinaus der Überzeugung, daß Gold den Ausbruch nach oben vorbereitet.

Sehr amüsant seine Einschätzung der Zentralbanken: "Arbeiten nachts in ihren Zimmerchen, wo sie neue Politbüro - Blödsinn - Pläne ausdenken."

"...If deflation (whatever they believe that means) is gaining an upper hand, then somebody should tell the gold price. It is oblivious to any such vapid threat. Being ultimately a monetary instrument, gold continues to build its energy field for the next rise. Notice the rising moving averages and the rising trend on the build-up toward the breakout level of 1000. To be sure, the gold market is reluctant to advance with power. It is being held back by the illicit gold futures shorting campaign that violates every regulatory statute in the book, beginning with the 90% collateral requirement. Heck, we all could bring down the price of a cup of coffee to a mere dime if we shorted the coffee contract into oblivion without benefit of supply, provided the central bankers kept huge inventories to work past the midnight hours in their nether chambers, where they devise new Politburo poppycock plans...."

http://www.321gold.com/editorials/willie/willie070209.html

Grüsse

Zitat von bullionbulls

For those who are interested, here is my own analysis of what could occur in the precious metals markets over the next several months. In my opinion, gold (and silver) “bulls” should seriously think about doing their fall buying soon, if the price of gold holds up for the rest of this month. (....)

Tja, dieser 1.Teil ist etwas irreführend, weil er nur eine Variante anschneidet, die der Autor selbst für weniger wahrscheinlich hält.
Der Langfristinvestor sieht auch besser das große Bild, nachfolgend dargestellt:

"...Should this scenario prevail, I would expect to see gold push above and past the $1000 barrier – perhaps once and for all – followed by a run-up to at least $1200/oz, with the real possibility of an even more substantial move. The combination of significant gold-buying by central banks, combined with reduced sales, means that the “spikes” in price will be stronger, while the manipulated pull-backs will be increasingly shallow. Conversely, should we see a late seasonal sell-off in gold, and a retreat toward $800, or possibly a little lower, then likely the best we can expect for gold over the remainder of the year would be to re-challenge $1000, and likely push slightly higher – in anticipation of further gains in the New Year.
Neither scenario justifies exiting current, precious metals positions. Indeed, I would encourage people to engage in judicious buying with any significant dip – both bullion and the shares of quality, precious metals miners.
Given the certainty of enormous long-term gains in the precious metals sector, investors should maintain a long-term outlook. “Buy and hold” may be a dead strategy in many conventional sectors of the economy, but it is certainly a viable (and prudent) strategy for precious-metals holders – as well as in other strong, commodity-plays...."

Grüsse
Edel Man

Zitat von Hawn

warum nicht einfach den Goldkurs über den Dollarkurs spiegeln?

beantwortet (nicht nur heute) fast alle Fragen

gruß hawn

Uraltes Märchen !

Die Korrelation ist geringer, als man denkt, wurde hier vor wenigen Tagen berichtet !!

Der Chart GOLD : USDX spricht Bände, bei Korrelation = 1 wäre es eine Gerade.

Grüsse

Moin

In einem anderen Sräd habe ich dies Posting hereingestellt:

FALL DES US DOLLAR / USDX

Zitat

Dollar’s days of supremacy are forever over and that the rise of the BRIC nations means that America is beginning to go the same path as the once mighty and proud British Empire. Its leaders too spent it into oblivion and destroyed its currency in the process.

China is slowly and surely taking steps to make the yuan more readily adaptable to taking a larger role in international trade while Brazil and India also begin to flex their economic muscles and demand a larger role on the international stage.

Paßt aber auch hier hinein, weil er die längerfristigen Perspektiven des Dollar --- mit zu erwartenden Auswirkungen auf die Edelmetalle -- beleuchtet.

Der gute Trader Dan Norcini (nicht nur er) ist verärgert, daß die Märkte inzwischen vom Daytrading beherrscht werden....

Groteske Karikatur.

Grüsse

Hier zuletzt öfter angesprochen.

Der Chart über einige Jahre zeigt, daß die Korrelation lediglich in diesem Jahr steil steigt !

Dies ist kein Zufall : Das unerträgliche Kartell aus US Government, FED + Cabalbanken tut alles, um den kränkelnden Dollar gegen Gold auszuspielen.
Die sehr weit beherrschten und manipulierenden US Medien tun das Ihrige dazu.

Es ist für mich völlig sicher, daß nach einem Ausbruch des Goldes diese temporäre künstliche Bindung wieder fällt.

Grüsse

Und das am Freitag! Der gute Jordan Roy-Byrne ,website: http://www.trendsman.com, ist ja noch bullisher als wir hier !
Er erklärt uns auch, warum.....:

"Practically everyone in the gold community has mentioned the inverse head and shoulders pattern on the gold chart and the corresponding $1,300 target. The target is correct but the interpretation of the pattern is not entirely correct. That target comes from the pattern being a reversal pattern but in the current case of Gold it is not a reversal pattern. There is no downtrend it is reversing from. ....

The pattern is a continuation pattern because it ensures the continuation of the prior trend. Continuation patterns themselves don’t produce price targets. In a continuation pattern like a flag or pennant, you usually take the length of the preceding move and add it to the top of the flag/pennant to get a price target. Point being, it’s possible for $1,300 to be a target but it’s not the level that we should be focusing on.

Cup and Handle Pattern

Gold has formed sort of a cup and handle pattern more than a few times. The first example is from 1999 to 2003 and the second example is from 1996 to 2004. Please note the four steps of the pattern that occurred in both cases. The pattern can have a simple target and a logarithmic target. I find that the logarithmic target is achieved in the long-term patterns. The target is calculated by taking the percent distance from the bottom of the cup to the top and then adding it to the top. (Example- 200 to 400 is 100%, so the target is 800).

Far more important than the inverse head and shoulders, is this mega long-term cup and handle pattern. It has completed the three steps and a move above $1,000/oz would confirm that the 4th step (impulsive advance) is underway. Using $730 and a low of $255, I calculate a logarithmic price target of $2,089. In the previous two patterns, which evolved over eight years and four years, it took less than a year in both cases for the target to be reached (following the third step). ..."

http://www.321gold.com/editori…yrne/roy_byrne070309.html

Grüsse