Jonathan Mergott, 02.07.2025
"I'll repost this gold cycle chart, but for a long time. There was a very evident cycle of bottoming around Christmas, having a strong Jan and Feb topping out, then declining may-june into another low that has historically lined right up to 4th of July.
We filled this cycle near perfectly for a decade. There's been a few yrs since it didn't line up. But last yr, we consolidated into June July and took off. Then did it again, declining into Christmas and took off again. We've pulled back enough in price last couple of weeks. Sentiment has cooled off significantly and we've been pausing/consolidating for 3 mos since April, then we pullback right into the beginning of July, while silver is perched holding right above highs. So let's see if our Christmas/independence day buy cycle in gold is back, cause that made for some VERY nice consistent profits. Run up stongly for a few mos, sell, wait a couple mos and buy back again. We got nice consistent 30+% swings higher in GDX twice a yr and individual miners that did a hell of a lot better than 30%.
Not much most of 2020-24, until last yr, and then we had last july, christmas and now (yet to be dfetermined) all lined up perfectly. But going all the way back to 2007-18. Almost every single one, perfect. and when they are off by a bit, its a matter of about 2 wks either way, so june 15th or july 15th. basically could close your eyes and press by and be right 100% of the time buying gold christmas and 4th of july."
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