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#URANIUM Sector Update
#Nuclear and #uranium stocks are pulling back sharply this morning, with many names dropping 5-10% or more in early trading, extending a recent pullback from multi-month highs.
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For context, the spot price of uranium also eased to $90.30 per pound, down from January's peak of $101.50.
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Several factors and news items converged to trigger today's sell-off, which is viewed as an opportunity to scale in….
Catalysts for today's Selloff:
Increased Supply from Uzbekistan Weighing on Prices: Uzbekistan's Atomic Energy Agency announced higher-than-expected uranium production for 2025, reaching 7,000 tonnes—well above prior market estimates—and upward revisions to reserves. This temporarily alleviated fears of an imminent supply crunch, countering the narrative of persistent deficits that had fueled the recent rally.
Speculation Around Elon Musk and Solar Energy: Reports emerged that Musk's team at xAI or Tesla reached out to major Chinese solar panel manufacturers, sparking fears of a pivot toward solar solutions for data center power needs instead of nuclear. This is unfounded, in my opinion.
Broader Market Pullback and Overvaluation Concerns: After surging on nuclear renaissance themes (e.g., U.S. government deals and reactor approvals), the sector had gotten overbought. Analysts noted that some stocks, like Energy Fuels (UUUU), had run up too far without clear catalysts, leading to a correction.
As mentioned, I view today's selloff as an opportunity for those below their "target weight" allocation to slowly accumulate.
The long-term structural supply deficit is unaffected by short-term news headlines, and uranium has rarely been this cheap when priced in gold.
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While there is nothing wrong with accumulating high quality individual mining stocks (I own several), but I much prefer to simply play the Sprott ETFs and physically backed Trust, which provide diversified exposure to high quality names.
Here's an updated look at the charts for each…..
1. Sprott Physical Uranium Trust ($SRUUF | $U.U
| $U.UN
)
The Sprott Physical Uranium Trust gives direct exposure to the price of physical uranium, and is viewed as the most favorable Risk-Reward way to play the sector.
It does not have the same upside potential as $URNM or $URNJ
, but also does not carry the downside risk associated with mining stocks.
I view #SPUT the foundation of my uranium portfolio, in the same way that I view physical silver and gold as the bedrock of a precious metals portfolio.
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Slight 0.3% Discount to NAV
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Note the January spike in Premium to NAV
Price has now perfectly backtested the $20.50 breakout level, and $28.45 remains the first measured move target.
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As price backtests $20.50, just above the rising blue 50MA, it presents an initial lower risk entry point to consider scaling in.
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2. Sprott Uranium Miners ETF ($URNM)
If I could only own a single ticker in the uranium space, it would certainly be the Sprott Uranium Miners ETF.
The ETF offers pure-play exposure to the quality uranium miners, with a healthy allocation to the physical metal via #SPUT
.
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As you can see on the chart below, price is well of the recent $84.85 All-Time High (ATH) and is close to backtesting the $66.30 breakout level.
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3. $URNJ
: Sprott Jr Uranium Miners ETF
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I own $URNJ in the "Volatility Advantage" Bucket. We fully exited this position the day prior to the Oct 17th interim peak, and used the subsequent pullback to scale back in.
Technical analysis can certainly give traders an edge in forecasting, but an easily overlooked advantage of chart-based trading is the ability to make unemotional "IF/THEN" statements.
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$30.16 = Next Support
More to follow this week, as conditions warrant!
I am beyond grateful for the opportunity to serve this group to the very best of my ability.
We certainly won't get every single turn correctly, but I know that we can navigate these wild markets better alongside one another than flying solo!
I would love the opportunity to serve you at a higher level at www.SilverChartist. com!
Grace & Peace,
Steve Penny