Soja

    Für alle die es noch nicht kennen ...


    [Blockierte Grafik: http://www.seasonalcharts.de/bilder/akt0303.gif]


    Der 'Soybeans: Spring Increase', der saisonale Anstieg der Sojabohnen, beginnt am 1.3. und endet am 24.6.. In 20 von 30 Jahren trat der Anstieg ein. Er betrug dann 12,4%. Es gab aber auch 10 Jahre, in denen die Sojabohnen während dieser Jahreszeit fielen. Der durchschnittliche Rückgang lag dann bei -2,6%. Im Mittel aller 30 Jahre lag das Resultat bei 7,2%.


    Der 'Soybeans: Spring'-Anstieg dauert 115 Kalendertage. In 66% aller Jahre trat er ein. Die statistische Stabilität dieses saisonalen Musters liegt also nur im mittleren Bereich. Verlustbegrenzungsmaßnahmen (wie Stopp-Loss) sind unabdingbar.


    Das saisonale Muster 'Soybeans: Spring Increase' tritt nicht nur in den Kassamärkten, sondern auch bei den Futures auf. Bitte bedenken Sie die hohe Volatilität der Agrarmärkte und den in beide Richtungen wirkenden Hebeleffekt bei Futures. Die Agrarmärkte erfordern einen eigenen Handelsstil und einen eigenen Handelsansatz.


    ....


    Quelle: seasonalcharts.de

    Soja, Rückblick auf letzte Woche und Ausblick


    von Tim Hannagan, Alaron Trading


    Monday came in as expected with large trading funds taking year end short covering profits and pile back on short pushing us to down 11 on the close, on anticipation of lower cash price as growers lightly sell grain for cash to cover holiday debt. Tuesday was follow through pushing 10 lower by mid-session, again large trading funds controlling the selling. Cash prices being paid farmers had dropped from 80-cents over the January futures to only 58-cents over before the opening. Wednesday saw our 22-cent two day drop lead to funds taking some profits to the bank off winter storm warnings slowing cash grain sales and word ahead of the opening. China had purchased 116 t.t. of beans. Thursday’s weekly export sales report showed 649 t.t. of beans were sold last week down from 926 the week prior and 22% under our four-week average. Holiday shortened week was our culprit but good news was China was in for 370 t.t. we traded both sides of unchanged in a very tight range with funds and commercials selling off the highs early but buying back their shorts late when wheat and corn rallied. Friday saw light follow through buying as traders take more short profits to the bank ahead of the weekend and next week’s crop report. Support on March beans lie at5.30 with resistance at 5.42 then 5.60. Monday and Tuesday look to choppy two-sided trade each day ahead of Wednesday’s crop report. Like corn beans too look for direction after Wednesday’s report. Will they test our near-term 5.24 low or our funds done selling and will buy back the rest of their shorts until South American production becomes clearer. The only problem todate is in for southern Brazil where it has been too dry but January is like our June here. It is February and March that make or break yields. We got our early January break. I called for and I still look for a late January rally into February.


    Quelle: alaron.com

    Weiss jemand von Euch ob es für Soja einen Future gibt und wann dieser gelistet wurde?
    Und, weil wir schon dabei sind. Dieselbe Frage möchte ich auch für all die anderen Rohstoffe stellen:
    Zucker, Kaffee, Mais, Weizen,....etc....
    Grüße Spica

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