Gold und Silber... Informationen und Vermutungen I

@Dau.....Wer mit Gold spekuliert braucht starke Nerven.

@ Germoney...thanks for the websites,more informations to read.

Hier ist ein Teil von einem Artikels bei LMC:
Irgendwann kommt ein dicker Fisch der die Chance nutzt.:

....What makes it more sickening is to watch the opposite kind of market action when it comes to the DOW. It was due 50 higher this morning, following yesterday’s hit. This kind of PPT influenced nudge is what we have seen time and time again, especially since General Paulson took over the reigns at the US Treasury.

Now for the potentially MOST FUN stuff …this is astounding … the gold open interest went UP SHARPLY, to make an all-time high of 423,183, up a whopping 8372 contracts.

According to our floor sources, the funds are liquidating at the moment, and are not rolling their June positions over. Normally the spread between the spot month and roll over month widens going into the delivery period, when the specs rollover their long positions. The Jun/Aug spread has been running at $6.30/$6.50 Aug premium. Normally the spread would move out to $6.80/$7. Not today. It came in to $6. This tells us it is new buyers who are entering the fray on the long side.

So who the heck is selling like crazy at these levels?
The floor is scratching their heads. This sort of open interest build up is unprecedented and is leading to a gigantic move up or down.

The only answer for this that I can come up with is what you are seeing here is Gold Cartel selling of enormous proportions, in an effort to take the gold price lower to calm down inflation fears, and over gradually rising US intermediate/long term interest rates. Somebody is taking the cabal on. It is NOT the usual tech funds who are dumping longs, and maybe even going short.

The buildup in the gold open interest is coming in the August contract, a good sign, as it is a nearby move play. In addition, the June contract still has 111,773 contracts to be dealt with, most of them before First Notice Day next Thursday. That is a massive amount on the books at this late day before the delivery period next week.

Could there be some monstrous buyer ?.. (say Arab money) moving in to take delivery? In the past this has been a hope trade of sorts … one that NEVER materializes. Yet, we have NEVER seen gold open interest do this before during a traditional spec liquidation. Something big is up. Stay tuned … IF gold is in play, we will see moves and volatility not seen since the Washington Agreement announcement on September 25, 1999.

What about Gold and Silver stocks ?

The Gold and Silver stocks often precede moves in the Precious Metals, and they have been range bound and oversold below resistance for the last year. Since they are holding support and coming to the end of their respective cycle lows, they could turn up shortly.

http://www.astrocycle.net/Precious.shtml

@SiLV

Finde ich schlau was Novartis macht,die haben Verstand und nutzen die Gelegenheit.

Herr Eichelburg:

Gold $654: sie lassen nichts unversucht - abwarten, auch wenn es frustriert ! ......oder kaufen

Letztes Jahr haben sie mit der selben Anstrengung den Goldpreis noch um fast $200 .. drücken können, und heute?

Marc Faber:

Bush and the Gang of Fools in Washington, DC have pretty much destroyed the dollar and one day soon the rest of the world will notice. We are already in a recession and soon the market will reflect what is going on. The probability of a general stock market crash between July and October is exceptionally high.

Er meint, dass die Märkte Anfang Juli den Höhepunkt erreichen und es dann bis Oktober einen massiven Crash geben wird.
Nicht nur in den USA und nicht nur die Aktien (WE). Warten wir ab ....die Blasen werden groesser jeden Tag.

Marc Faber Video...15 minuten, bitte anschaun

http://www.bloomberg.com/avp/a…om/cache/v5x2LlWTC524.asf

Dramatisch wie immer,wo er die 200 $ in einen Jahr her hat ???

Herr Eichelburg:

"" Das dürfte "Smart Money" sein, das die Situation gerochen hat (wie die Haie das Blut).

Naechste Wochen beissen sie vielleicht zu....mal schaun

Neu 2007-05-24:

Hat Hank Paulson "genug"?

Aus dem Midas vom 24. Mai:

Hank "the hammer" Paulson appears to be having difficulty finding anything that looks like a nail! A disgruntled and frustrated Treasury Secretary like Paulson could become a serious problem for the continuation of the gold manipulation scheme. A resignation would certainly be a death knell for the dollar as it bumps along an all time low support level.

QUOTE

Paulson, Hobbled by Bush's Unpopularity, Scales Back Ambitions
By Rich Miller and Kevin Carmichael

May 24 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson came to Washington with a Wall Street reputation for overcoming all obstacles in the way of a deal. He may have found the one hurdle he can't surmount: George W. Bush's damaged presidency.

On issues ranging from defusing trade tensions with China to overhauling Social Security, the former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. chief executive officer is playing down the notion of breakthroughs. Instead, he's talking about laying foundations for his successors.

None of the challenges ``avail themselves to a quick fix, but all of them we can make progress on,'' Paulson, 61, said in an interview in Washington yesterday after talks with Chinese officials that he conceded resulted in only ``incremental'' gains…

Er muss nicht in dem Job bleiben, er hat genügend eigenes Geld. Unter George W. Bush (Idiot in Chief) als Finanzminister zu dienen dürfte nicht einfach sein. Ausserdem verlassen derzeit unzählige "gute" Leute das Weisse Haus. Die Ratten...

Wenn Paulson geht, wird wohl diese unglaubliche Markt-Manipulation kaum mehr wie bisher funktionieren.

----------------------------------------------

Das Geheimnis hinter den ""naked shorts"", Video 3 Parts:

Part 1:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bfi3Hxasm2s

Part2 :
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYUU2qZOcM0

Part 3
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=taLhQoTvTLw

Und noch einer,weil es Wochenende ist. :D:

DON"T WANT NO SHORT PEOPLE:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJXeZFzZZvQ

http://www.youtube.com/results…aked+shorts&search=Search

@SilV

Nicht umsonst hat Marc Faber den Namen..Dr.Gloom and Doom

Ich nehme seine Meinung zur Kenntnis, that's all !

Eine Korrektur (Crash) egal wie hoch kommt sicher ab mitte Juli.

Bei 2009/2010 sind die Blasen sicher geplatzt.

Ps:

Die Video's oben sind es wert anzuschauen.

Enjoy the rest of the weekend,go out and switch off for a while.

Gruss

Eldo

@Auratico....ja das ist die Frage, im welche Richtung ?

Die naechsten Wochen werden es zeigen.

Ich banke auf Gold up,wenn ich mich nicht irre , die Charts sehen ziemlich zerfetzt aus....mal schaun was passiert

""Generalangriff auf die "Tangibles""" ???

..engineered by the Fed and other Central Bankers-led Cartel to achieve their policy goals ($ S&P Dow).

Der Angriff war schon dreimal dieses Jahr, Paulson hat nun wenig Munition mehr uebrig. IMO

Sind die tangible zu billig dann kaufen die Chinesen und liften die Preise wieder....warte mal ab.

Die Amis sind schon dumm, die Chinesen werden dadurch immer staerker mit ihrer Taktik und freuen sich ueber die Manipulationen und Preisstuerze bei den Tangibles assets.
Sie bekommen mehr fuer den Fiat Dollar den sie in Menge haben, das ist der Vorteil den sie auch nutzen werden.

Bullshit, Panikmache, wie weit soll der Precious Metals Market noch fallen ?

""Takedowns"" wird es immer geben, wir hatten gerade einen beim POG/POS/HUI/XAU....zum dritten mal in diesen Jahr !

Against all odds, I bought.

Deepcasters:

""Simultaneously, we expect another sharp takedown of Gold and Precious Metals prices in the near future. Thus Deepcaster will be carefully monitoring the fundamentals, technicals and especially the interventionals, for a signal the Golden Shoe is about to drop, again. At that point Deepcaster expects to have made recommendations which would lead to substantial profits on the short side.

Deepcaster, the name fits !

@ Dau 2206

Wie kommt ihr auf POG 200 USD ???

Ich habe nochmal Marc Faber's Video gesehen, er sagt nichts ueber Gold ausser das es 1970 in einer Bubble war.

Aktienmaerkte z.B.:

We have now the final stage of the bubble but it can be very steep until it burst.

He does not know when the bubble will burst, maybe in 3-6 month ?

Geopolitical events can trigger a lot.

Look for assets which are depressed ! (wie waere es mit Gold) :D..sage ich.

Also the stockmarket which has corrected in the middle east.

He likes Asian Currencies.

When markets crash the Yen will go up.

In Euro term assets in the US are cheap, also Gold in real terms.

The US is driven by assets inflation.

If they print more it comes back as hyper inflation later.

Put money in farmland like in Argentina, Brazil, New Zealand, Australia, Vietnam.

The guys on Wall street should learn to drive a tractor when the markets crash.

He did put his money in Vietnam, Thailand, in real estates and other assets there.

That's it, Good Morning Vietnam !

Das PPT kriegt die selbe Abreibung eines Tages, sie koennen die Investoren auf Dauer nicht laenger zum Narren halten,irgendwann ist damit Schluss und alle Sachwerte bekommen den Wert den sie verdienen, Angebot und Nachfrage werden diesen Wert bestimmen.

Gruss

Eldo

Lasst Euch nicht von Leerverkaeufer Hank Paulson bange machen !
Mir kann er keinen Baeren aufbinden.

@Dau20006.... nix von 200 USD POG !....keine Ahnung was du gehoert hast.

Mach draus 850 $ in 2008 :D..ab Juli/August faellt der USD.

Gold: The Next 30 Days Part III

Last week Gold was $20 below its price of May 18, 2006. Today it closed $6.60 above last year’s price. Silver has not moved over the week, rising 1c. Last year silver rose 2c over the week.

Although May 25th this year was quiet, last year Gold leapt $10.90 and the shares soared with the HUI rising from 312.03 to 328.10. Notice this year, we haven’t had a single good up day in weeks. Last year, sandwiched between the $36 loss on May 24th was a $16 rise on May 23rd followed by the $10 jump on May 25th. In comparison, Gold this month has been very very quiet. Is it wise to sell a quiet Gold market?

The Crash of 2006 took place in two distinct episodes. The first lasted two weeks (May 11 to May 24) and took Gold from $720 to $637 for a loss of $83 or 11.5%. Then Gold stood still for two weeks until June 8th when it began to fall again. By June 11th it had lost a further $75 or 11.8%.

Silver, as usual, was more volatile. The drops were quicker and sharper. In one week it dropped 17% to $12.42 then stabilized until June 6th when it crashed a further 22% to $9.60 in six trading days.

This year both Gold and Silver peaked earlier. So far Gold is down less than 5% from it’s mid April high and Silver less than 12%. Silver took seven months to return to the $13.24 level it lost on May 17th 2006.

I’ve updated my Table comparing Gold and Silver during the CRASH of 2006 with prices for this year. (chart) A

The sentiment in the Gold Community remains dismal, which from a contrarion point of view is bullish. Last week I looked at the Gold Shares. This week I’ve updated a Table on Silver Shares that I sent Midas in May 2005, see (chart) B

As one would expect, the share returns are all over the place. All but one of the above shares are above their May 2005 lows. That was an easy target. What is more interesting is the comparison with three years ago when Silver was at $7.03. Couer d”Alene is worth half what it was then despite the 83% rise in silver bullion. Very few of these silver miners have shown the expected leverage the shares usually offer. Pan American is only up 56% while Hecla is much worse at 2%. Think of it, the silver price almost doubles and the share price of a major silver producer is flat and another cut in half. Why?

The answer is a mix of sentiment and inflation in the mining sector. Mining costs are eating into both Gold and Silver miners’ margins. In a fiat world this is to be expected. We’re going through a process that is in some ways similar to that of the 1970’s. Without Gold as their Standard people are literally lost. Not understanding the true nature of the problem, but realizing that something is terribly wrong they experiment with different “hedges” .
Below I’ve lifted a Table used in a previous Café article I wrote entitled “Rancid Butter and Duck Decoys” see:
http://www.lemetropolecafe.com…archParam=rancid%20butter

This table which was prepared by Salomon Brothers appeared in “Paper Money” by Adam Smith in 1980.

The most important thing to note in this table is the “1 Year” Column which shows gold up 104%. If we prepared a similar Table today and ranked Gold against Old Masters, Rare Stamps, Duck Decoys and other commodities like Copper or Nickel it would be near the bottom of the list. People want to protect their savings from confiscation through inflation. They just have not figured out (so far) that Gold is their answer.
So they speculate. Housing was a good example. It went up spectacularly and now it is in the process of collapse. What they are searching for but have not yet found is the most efficient way to protect their savings and that is where Gold shines. I won’t rewrite my previous article (that can be accessed at the Café website) but just repeat
the final two paragraphs:

“How will this crisis end? Commodity prices have increased spectacularly. So have Duck Decoys. Gold is lagging. But Gold’s latent monetary advantages are still there, waiting, silently but with incredible explosive potency. Those quietly accumulating Gold, at these low prices, can at anytime force it higher. They can at current prices easily buy ALL central bank gold in the world. But that would stop the flow. Defeat their purpose.

The test will come. The Fed will have to decide between saving the Dollar and saving the Economy. When that happens only Gold will do.

And so we learn, by trial and error, what our grandparents knew and our parents forgot; that Gold has the lowest transition costs, that it does not require expert knowledge, that it travels well, that it is always saleable, that it will not go rancid like butter, crack like an egg, break like a ceramic, tear like a stamp or burn like a duck decoy. In short, nothing is as good as Gold. “

Cheers from Auckland, Ed Wener

Max Keiser and Al Jazeera examine rigged U.S. markets

Submitted by cpowell on 10:02AM ET Saturday, May 26, 2007. Section: Daily Dispatches
1p ET Saturday, May 26, 2007

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Market analyst, international provocateur, and Al Jazeera commentator Max Keiser, who in December examined the gold price suppression scheme for Al Jazeera (http://www.gata.org/node/4600), has returned to examine the rigging of the financial markets in the United States, including devices like hedge funds, naked short selling, and the Plunge Protection Team.

Keiser's new report is called "Rigged Markets," and the "People & Power" program of Al Jazeera's English service began broadcasting it this week. The program includes interviews with two GATA consultants -- James Turk, founder of GoldMoney.com and editor of the Freemarket Gold & Money Report, and Rob Kirby of Kirby Analytics -- and GATA board member Catherine Austin Fitts, president of Solari Inc. and former assistant secretary of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.

You can watch "Rigged Markets" in two parts, totalling 22 minutes, at Al Jazeera's site here:http:// ;)</p><p><br></p><p><woltlab-metacode-marker data-name="b" data-uuid="94efb429-d038-46aa-86a6-dea54e2c06af" data-source="W0Jd" />[URL]http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/71C76C20-1F4F-458B-8FB9-B1FA0A2F60F6.htm<woltlab-metacode-marker data-uuid="94efb429-d038-46aa-86a6-dea54e2c06af" data-source="Wy9iXQ==" />[/URL]

Or try this abbreviated link:

http://tinyurl.com/3aqyyp

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.

@GK

Genauso laeuft es ab, hier nochmals zwei Videos ueber den grossen Betrug den sie machen. (Hedgefonds und Mutualfonds)

Bald sind wir wieder bei 1929 wenn der Schwindel zu ende geht und die Maerkte einbrechen.

Der $$ Krug geht zum Brunnen bis er bricht !

Bei 80/81 USD/IDX sind wir soweit.

Dann wird auch die Deriviate Bombe platzen.

Aber das dauert noch. Time is money

http://english.aljazeera.net/N…58B-8FB9-B1FA0A2F60F6.htm