Gold ist heute fest, passend dazu diese Einschätzung von Bloomberg Intelligence, prima. Dabei geht B. davon aus, daß die Dollar Rallye abbrechen wird , was schnell gehen könne und die lange erwartete Erholung des Goldpreises auslöse.
Nun denn.... Weitestgehend wird andernorts die Dollarstärke gepriesen, aber wie so oft, kann alles ganz anders kommen.
"(Kitco News) - Waiting on the greenback to move is the game gold is playing lately, according to Bloomberg Intelligence (BI), which believes that the U.S. dollar will head down soon and trigger a long-awaited rebound in the precious metal.
“Metals will have a hard time recovering if the dollar rally resumes, but we don't see that happening,” BI senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone wrote in the Bloomberg commodity outlook for October. “It's unlikely the dollar can sustain itself above the 14-year high. Risk vs. reward appears to favor metals' longs at current levels.
The rebound can come fairly quickly, noted McGlone, highlighting the end of the third quarter as a possible timeframe for the move up in the metals....
Trading the past few years within the most compressed range in decades increases the chance of a breakout higher, typically the case in such coiled markets. If the greenback resumes the mean-reversion process of 2017, gold should head toward $1,400,” McGlone said.
In order to trigger the gold rally, the metal will not even need a major supportive driver, the analyst added.
“Typically, only a minor spark is needed for reversion to occur. In 1999, expectations of limits on central-bank sales were a prime short-covering spark for gold,” he wrote."
http://www.kitco.com/news/2018…oomberg-Intelligence.html
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